La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
5 - 1
Getafe

Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Alvarez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Atletico
Monday, August 29 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Rayo Vallecano	3	0	4
14	Valencia	3	-1	3
15	Espanyol	3	-4	1

Getafe

Last Six:

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1
18	Getafe	3	-5	1
19	Real Valladolid	3	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Getafe
49.05% ( -0.31)	28.12% ( -0.22)	22.83% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 41.28% (

1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.66% (

1.01)

63.34% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.29% (

0.72)

82.71% (

-0.73)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.32)

26.13% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.43)

61.2% (

-0.43)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.88% (

1.13)

44.12% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

0.91)

80.22% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Valencia 49.05%

Getafe 22.83%

Draw 28.11%

Valencia	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 49.05%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.83%