| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Getafe |
| 44.77% ( | 26.83% ( | 28.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( | 55.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% ( | 76.81% ( |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( | 24.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( | 59.31% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( | 71.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.4% |