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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Balaidos
Elche

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Elche

Suarez (9')
Galan (56'), Tapia (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marcone (81'), Morente (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawElche
66.13% (0.188 0.19)20.08% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)13.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (0.085999999999999 0.09)45.93% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (0.082000000000001 0.08)68.24% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.081000000000003 0.08)13.01% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.45% (0.16699999999999 0.17)39.55% (-0.168 -0.17)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.116 -0.12)44.75% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.27% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)80.73% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 66.12%
    Elche 13.79%
    Draw 20.08%
Celta VigoDrawElche
2-0 @ 12.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.23% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 66.12%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.08%
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Elche

Celta Vigo
70.3%
Draw
16.2%
Elche
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 1pm
Elche
1-0
Celta Vigo
Benedetto (49')
Josan (35'), Barragan (58'), Mascarell (89'), Casilla (90+8')

Araujo (72'), Mallo (82'), Mina (90+9')
Feb 12, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Elche
Mina (45', 68'), Mendez (45+2')
Mendez (53'), Ferreyra (78'), Aspas (82')
Rigoni (50')
Rigoni (36'), Gonzalo (82')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Elche
1-1
Celta Vigo
Fidel (4' pen.)
Gonzalez (13'), Boye (58'), Barragan (90+4')
Mina (41')
Suarez (5'), Olaza (72'), Aspas (81'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Mar 2, 2015 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Elche
Krohn-Dehli (61')
Radoja (22'), Mallo (41'), Fontas (63'), Cabral (69'), Lopez (83'), Krohn-Dehli (88')
Lomban (88' pen.)
Angel (23'), Cisma (57'), Herrera (94')
Sep 26, 2014 8pm
rhs 2.0


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