| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
| 66.13% ( | 20.08% ( | 13.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.07% ( | 45.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( | 68.24% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( | 13.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.45% ( | 39.55% ( |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.25% ( | 44.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.27% ( | 80.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 12.1% ( 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 3-0 @ 8.23% ( 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 1-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.79% |