Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
66.13% ( 0.19) | 20.08% ( -0.08) | 13.79% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.07% ( 0.09) | 45.93% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.76% ( 0.08) | 68.24% ( -0.08) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.99% ( 0.08) | 13.01% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.45% ( 0.17) | 39.55% ( -0.17) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.25% ( -0.12) | 44.75% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.27% ( -0.09) | 80.73% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |