| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 35.9% ( | 26.37% ( | 37.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( | 51.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( | 73.56% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( | 27.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% ( | 63.34% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( | 61.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.72% |