| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
| 55.97% | 23.73% | 20.31% |
| Both teams to score 49.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% | 50.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% | 72.26% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% | 17.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% | 48.55% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% | 39.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% | 75.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.31% |