La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 3, 2022 at 1pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Elche

Berenguer (32'), Villalibre (86')
Vesga (50'), Nunez (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Josan (90+2')
Bigas (47'), Marcone (56'), Carrillo (61'), Josan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42
13	Elche	38	-12	42
14	Espanyol	38	-13	42

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Elche
66.46%	20.55%	12.99%

Both teams to score 44.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38%

49.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36%

71.64%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94%

14.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.35%

41.65%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.71%

48.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.56%

83.44%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 66.46%

Elche 12.99%

Draw 20.55%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 13.06% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 66.46%	1-1 @ 9.7% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.55%	0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.71% Total : 12.99%