Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.