| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
| 62.18% | 23.12% | 14.69% |
| Both teams to score 41.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% | 56.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% | 77.14% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% | 17.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% | 48.29% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.41% | 49.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.63% | 84.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 15.18% 2-0 @ 13.16% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.34% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.87% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.03% Total : 62.17% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.14% 1-2 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 2.16% Other @ 2.66% Total : 14.7% |