| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 37 | -13 | 41 |
| 14 | Getafe | 37 | -6 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Espanyol | 37 | -13 | 41 |
| 14 | Getafe | 37 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Elche | 37 | -14 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Getafe |
| 43.42% | 27.37% | 29.21% |
| Both teams to score 47.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.87% | 78.13% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% | 71.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.21% |