La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2022 at 6pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
2 - 1
Espanyol

de la Fuente (7'), Escalante (59')
N'Diaye (41'), Laguardia (90'), Tenas (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

de Tomas (14' pen.)
Herrera (30'), Vidal (40')
Herrera (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

Last Six:

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Granada	38	-17	38
19	Levante	38	-25	35
20	Alaves	38	-34	31

Espanyol

Last Six:

Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Elche	38	-12	42
14	Espanyol	38	-13	42
15	Getafe	38	-8	39

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Alaves.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Espanyol
43.71% ( -0.17)	26.11% ( 0.05)	30.17% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.18% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.95% (

-0.12)

52.05% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.22% (

-0.11)

73.78% (

0.11)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.14)

23.68% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.2)

57.79% (

0.2)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

0.03)

31.63% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

0.03)

68.04% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Alaves 43.71%

Espanyol 30.17%

Draw 26.1%

Alaves	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.71%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.17%