| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
| 61.42% | 21.56% | 17.02% |
| Both teams to score 50.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% | 46.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% | 68.4% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% | 14.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.51% | 42.49% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% | 40.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% | 77.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.41% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.31% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.02% |