| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 35.81% | 26.73% | 37.46% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% | 53.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% | 74.84% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.32% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% | 27.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% | 63.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.45% |