| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
| 57.63% | 24.19% | 18.18% |
| Both teams to score 45.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% | 54.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% | 18.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% | 50.32% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% | 44.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.7% | 80.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 5.27% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 3.9% Total : 57.63% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.18% |