| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 68.74% | 20.04% | 11.21% |
| Both teams to score 40.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% | 51.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% | 73.38% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% | 13.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.49% | 41.5% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.43% | 52.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.62% | 86.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% 2-0 @ 14.22% 3-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6% 4-0 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.2% Total : 68.74% | 1-1 @ 9.3% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.04% | 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 2.99% 0-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.97% Total : 11.21% |