La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luka Modric 33' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 63' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 80' goal
  • Karim Benzema 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 48'

Real Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2022 3.15pm
Villarreal 0 - 0 Real Madrid
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2022 1.00pm
Alaves 2 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Joselu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 79.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 79.8%
Draw 13.87%
Alaves 6.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.45%
Under 2.5 40.55%
Over 3.5 37.06%
Under 3.5 62.94%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 91.91%
Under 0.5 8.09%
Over 1.5 71.55%
Under 1.5 28.45%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 43.24%
Under 0.5 56.76%
Over 1.5 11.1%
Under 1.5 88.91%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 79.79%
Draw 13.87%
Alaves 6.33%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 14.52%
3-0 @ 12.17%
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.23%
4-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 6.89%
4-1 @ 4.33%
5-0 @ 3.85%
5-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.95%
6-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 79.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.6%
2-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 13.87%
Alaves
0-1 @ 2.6%
1-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 6.33%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Manu Garcia 35' yellowcard
  • Joselu 65' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 48'
  • yellowcard Gareth Bale 53'
  • goal Nacho 56'
  • goal Karim Benzema 62'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 64'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Ximo Navarro 10' yellowcard
  • Manu Garcia 49' yellowcard
  • Joselu 59' goal
  • Victor Laguardia 79' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 85' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 15'
  • goal Karim Benzema 41'
  • goal Eden Hazard 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 59'
  • goal Karim Benzema 70'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 86'
  • yellowcard Karim Benzema 88'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 28, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Casemiro 18' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 61' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 86' goal
  • goal Lucas Perez 5'
  • goal Joselu 49'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 67'
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 76'
  • yellowcard Edgar Mendez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Jul 10, 2020 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Santiago Bernabeu
  • Karim Benzema 11' goal
  • Marco Asensio 50' goal
  • yellowcard Abdallahi Mahmoud 83'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2019 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Aleix Vidal 7' yellowcard
  • Tomas Pina 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Perez 64' goal
  • Lucas Perez 67' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 32'
  • goal Sergio Ramos 52'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 64'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 70'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 80'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • Karim Benzema 30' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 80' goal
  • Mariano 90' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Laguardia 32'
  • yellowcard Burgui 54'
  • yellowcard Mubarak Wakaso 74'

Build-up

Feature