La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 0
Alaves

Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Diaye (48')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 79.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
79.8%	13.87%	6.33%

Both teams to score 39.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06%

62.94%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.91%

8.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.55%

28.45%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.24%

56.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.1%

88.91%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 79.79%

Alaves 6.33%

Draw 13.87%

Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 14.52% 3-0 @ 12.17% 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 8.23% 4-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-1 @ 4.33% 5-0 @ 3.85% 5-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.95% 6-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.23% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.73% Total : 79.79%	1-1 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.6% 2-2 @ 2.33% Other @ 0.4% Total : 13.87%	0-1 @ 2.6% 1-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 1.88% Total : 6.33%