La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Valencia

Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their first goal on January 8, 2022

Karim Benzema scores 300th Real Madrid goal

Karim Benzema becomes just the fourth player to hit 300 goals for Real Madrid with his brace in Saturday's 4-1 La Liga win over Valencia.

Jan 8, 23:31

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
63.45%	21.08%	15.48%

Both teams to score 49.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22%

46.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96%

69.04%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92%

14.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.31%

41.69%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.13%

42.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.82%

79.18%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 63.44%

Valencia 15.48%

Draw 21.07%

Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.59% Total : 63.44%	1-1 @ 10.02% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.07%	0-1 @ 5.11% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.48%