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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Valencia

Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Valencia.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga match with Valencia.

We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Valencia

Valencia are more than capable of picking up a positive result at Bernabeu, and we are expecting this to be a very close match in the Spanish capital this weekend. Real Madrid will be desperate to return to winning ways following their loss at Getafe, though, and we are backing a 1-0 home success in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
63.45%21.08%15.48%
Both teams to score 49.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22%46.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96%69.04%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92%14.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.31%41.69%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.13%42.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.82%79.18%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.44%
    Valencia 15.48%
    Draw 21.07%
Real MadridDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.72%
5-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.17%
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
84.3%
Draw
9.6%
Valencia
6.0%
166
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 9
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
Jun 18, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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