Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Inter Milan

Kroos (17'), Asensio (79')
Militao (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

D'Ambrosio (54'), Bastoni (74')
Barella (64')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Inter Milan
44.85%	24.82%	30.34%

Both teams to score 56.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48%

46.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21%

68.8%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2%

20.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54%

53.47%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46%

64.54%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 44.85%

Inter Milan 30.34%

Draw 24.82%

Real Madrid	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.34%