Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Martinez (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrygo (89')
Alaba (60')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Real Madrid
36.86%	23.69%	39.45%

Both teams to score 62.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.65%

39.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.31%

61.69%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51%

21.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47%

54.52%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76%

20.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.44%

52.56%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 36.86%

Real Madrid 39.45%

Draw 23.69%

Inter Milan	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 8.21% 1-0 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.86%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 8.53% 0-1 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.45%