Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 17.38% | 19.76% | 62.86% |
| Both teams to score 57.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% | 37.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% | 59.46% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% | 71.46% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% | 11.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64% | 36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 4.79% 1-0 @ 4.16% 2-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.7% Total : 17.38% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 5.22% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.33% 0-1 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-3 @ 6.78% 1-4 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.79% 0-4 @ 3.69% 2-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.7% 0-5 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.41% Total : 62.86% |