La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 12, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
5 - 2
Celta Vigo

Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
65.81%	21.53%	12.66%

Both teams to score 40.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.98%

54.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55%

75.45%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29%

15.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.22%

44.78%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.48%

51.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.31%

85.69%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 65.8%

Celta Vigo 12.66%

Draw 21.53%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.97% 2-0 @ 13.86% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 65.8%	1-1 @ 9.93% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.53%	0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.22% Total : 12.66%