La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 13, 2021 at 9pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Molina (71')
Molina (41'), Brice Eteki (53'), Quina (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Modric (17'), Rodrygo (45+1'), Odriozola (75'), Benzema (76')
Militao (38'), Modric (49'), Nacho (63')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Real Madrid
15.89%	21.55%	62.56%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99%

48.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82%

70.18%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.94%

43.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66%

79.34%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24%

14.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57%

43%

Score Analysis

Granada 15.89%

Real Madrid 62.56%

Draw 21.54%

Granada	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.36% 2-1 @ 4.32% 2-0 @ 2.26% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.89%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.54%	0-1 @ 12.16% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-4 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-5 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.26% 1-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.36% Total : 62.56%