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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Balaidos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Atletico

Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
30.44%27.22%42.34%
Both teams to score 48.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72%56.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68%77.31%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37%33.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72%70.28%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 30.44%
    Atletico Madrid 42.33%
    Draw 27.21%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.44%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 11.8%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.33%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
13.8%
Draw
13.0%
Atletico Madrid
73.2%
138
rhs 2.0


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