Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 30.44% | 27.22% | 42.34% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% | 56.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% | 77.31% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% | 70.28% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.33% |