La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2021 at 9pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Carrasco (16'), Correa (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zubeldia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
44.12%	28.84%	27.04%

Both teams to score 42.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.84%

63.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.42%

82.59%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64%

64.36%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.9%

40.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26%

76.74%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 44.12%

Real Sociedad 27.03%

Draw 28.83%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 14.35% 2-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.56% Total : 44.12%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.83%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.03%