Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 21.85% | 27.77% | 50.38% |
| Both teams to score 41.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.02% | 62.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.55% | 82.45% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.08% | 44.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.13% | 80.87% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% | 25.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% | 60.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 0.97% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 15.62% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-3 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.57% 1-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 50.38% |