Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Eibar |
| 56.31% | 24.86% | 18.83% |
| Both teams to score 44.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% | 56.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% | 77.38% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% | 19.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.85% | 52.15% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% | 44.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.57% | 80.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 14.27% 2-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.02% 4-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.47% Total : 56.3% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.2% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.83% |