Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 44.69% | 26.18% | 29.13% |
| Both teams to score 51.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% | 52.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% | 74.41% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% | 23.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% | 57.56% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% | 32.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% | 69.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.13% |