Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
44.69% | 26.18% | 29.13% |
Both teams to score 51.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% | 52.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% | 74.41% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% | 23.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.44% | 57.56% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |