Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 38.11% | 27.48% | 34.42% |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% | 56.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% | 77.38% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% | 28.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% | 64.46% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% | 30.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% | 67.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.41% |