La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 3, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Eibar

Asensio (41'), Benzema (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gil (20'), Pozo (90+4')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Eibar
65.38%	20.79%	13.83%

Both teams to score 45.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.17%

48.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.07%

70.93%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.85%

14.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.19%

41.81%

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52%

46.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91%

82.09%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 65.37%

Eibar 13.83%

Draw 20.79%

Real Madrid	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 12.86% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.28% 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.4% Total : 65.37%	1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.79%	0-1 @ 5.04% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 0.96% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.83%