La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 14, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Valencia

Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')

Reaction

Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured in February 2021

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Feb 14, 20:06

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
67.67%	18.81%	13.52%

Both teams to score 51.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13%

40.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74%

63.25%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.89%

11.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.48%

35.51%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02%

41.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58%

78.41%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 67.65%

Valencia 13.52%

Draw 18.81%

Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 11.25% 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 7.16% 4-0 @ 4.53% 4-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.11% 5-0 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.98% Total : 67.65%	1-1 @ 8.89% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.81%	0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.51% Total : 13.52%