Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Eibar win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 35.41% | 28.44% | 36.16% |
| Both teams to score 46.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% | 59.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% | 80.12% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% | 32.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% | 68.52% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% | 67.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.15% |