Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Eibar |
| 17.26% | 23.82% | 58.92% |
| Both teams to score 44.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% | 54.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% | 76% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.73% | 45.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.85% | 81.15% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% | 18.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.56% | 49.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-1 @ 4.42% 2-0 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 1.17% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.26% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 14.07% 0-2 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 5.35% 0-4 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.91% |