Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Elche |
| 31.46% | 29.65% | 38.88% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.66% | 64.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.58% | 83.42% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% | 73.98% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% | 32.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% | 68.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.96% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-3 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.88% |