Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
| 46.11% | 26.42% | 27.48% |
| Both teams to score 49.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% | 54.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% | 75.91% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% | 23.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% | 57.71% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% | 71.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.48% |