La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 21, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Ipurua Municipal Stadium

Eibar
1 - 2
Atletico

Dmitrovic (12' pen.)
Arbilla (82'), Kike (90+1'), Pozo (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Suarez (40', 89' pen.)
Felipe (62'), Savic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Eibar and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.15%	25.33%	56.52%

Both teams to score 42.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.22%

58.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.7%

79.3%

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.4%

46.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.81%

82.19%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15%

20.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46%

53.54%

Score Analysis

Eibar 18.15%

Atletico Madrid 56.51%

Draw 25.33%

Eibar	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.15%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 15.23% 0-2 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-3 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-4 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.51%

How you voted: Eibar vs Atletico

Eibar

18.8%

Draw

11.9%

Atletico Madrid

69.3%