La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Jan 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 0
Sevilla

Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopetegui (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
36.28%	27.49%	36.23%

Both teams to score 49.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.69%

56.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66%

77.34%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28%

29.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22%

65.78%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.83%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 36.28%

Sevilla 36.23%

Draw 27.48%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.28%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.23%