La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 3, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 2
Atletico

Felipe (84' og.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.04%) and 0-3 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
11.4%	22.04%	66.56%

Both teams to score 36.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69%

58.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07%

78.93%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.64%

56.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.33%

88.67%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06%

16.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.98%

47.01%

Score Analysis

Alaves 11.4%

Atletico Madrid 66.54%

Draw 22.04%

Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.48% 2-1 @ 2.79% 2-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.4%	1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.04%	0-1 @ 16.94% 0-2 @ 15.04% 0-3 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-4 @ 3.95% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.54%

How you voted: Alaves vs Atletico

Alaves

7.7%

Draw

7.7%

Atletico Madrid

84.6%