Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 60.94% | 23.63% | 15.43% |
| Both teams to score 41.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% | 56.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% | 77.65% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% | 18.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.54% | 49.45% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.08% | 48.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.1% | 83.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 15.21% 2-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.22% 4-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.87% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.93% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.43% |