Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
| 19.59% | 25.97% | 54.44% |
| Both teams to score 42.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.7% | 59.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.29% | 79.7% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.78% | 45.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.89% | 81.1% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% | 21.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% | 55.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 4.74% 2-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.59% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 15.04% 0-2 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-3 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.43% |