Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
| 50.42% | 27.65% | 21.93% |
| Both teams to score 41.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.44% | 62.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.85% | 82.14% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% | 25.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% | 59.82% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.42% | 44.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.4% | 80.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 15.47% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.98% 4-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.05% Total : 50.41% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 0.98% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.93% |