Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 31.21% | 29.69% | 39.1% |
| Both teams to score 42.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.51% | 64.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.47% | 83.53% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% | 37.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% | 32.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 12.03% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.68% | 0-1 @ 13.66% 0-2 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-3 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.81% Total : 39.09% |