Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 30.47% | 28.15% | 41.38% |
| Both teams to score 46.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.36% | 59.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.04% | 79.96% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% | 35.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% | 72.15% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% | 28.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% | 64.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.37% |