Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 36.64% | 28.78% | 34.59% |
| Both teams to score 45.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% | 61.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% | 81.05% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% | 31.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% | 68.34% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% | 33.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.58% |