Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 32.83% | 27.89% | 39.28% |
| Both teams to score 47.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% | 58.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% | 69.48% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.28% |