Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Levante had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Levante | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 34.25% | 27.25% | 38.5% |
| Both teams to score 49.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.68% |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% | 66.84% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% | 28.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% | 63.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Levante | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.49% |