Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
