La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

Jul 9, 2020 at 9pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
Sevilla

Capa (28')
Nunez (31'), de Marcos (68'), Garcia (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Banega (69'), El Haddadi (74')
Banega (44'), Ocampos (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Sevilla
29.43%	26.79%	43.79%

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.99%

55.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72%

76.28%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28%

33.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63%

70.38%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05%

24.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41%

59.59%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 29.43%

Sevilla 43.78%

Draw 26.78%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.43%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.78%

La Liga

Athletic Bilbao1 - 2Sevilla

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
Sevilla