Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
| 51.17% | 26.71% | 22.13% |
| Both teams to score 44.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.63% | 59.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% | 79.76% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% | 23.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% | 57.35% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.48% | 42.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.11% | 78.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.09% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.08% Total : 22.13% |