La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Jun 23, 2020 at 9pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Rakitic (71')
Busquets (32'), Rakitic (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (62')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
72.37%	17.08%	10.55%

Both teams to score 47.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.36%

40.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.98%

63.02%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.14%

9.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.3%

32.69%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.19%

46.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.66%

82.34%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 72.36%

Athletic Bilbao 10.55%

Draw 17.08%

Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
2-0 @ 12.38% 1-0 @ 10.68% 3-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 5.54% 4-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.6% 6-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.45% Total : 72.36%	1-1 @ 8.12% 0-0 @ 4.61% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.08%	0-1 @ 3.5% 1-2 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.55%