Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Barcelona |
30.41% | 23.98% | 45.62% |
Both teams to score 59.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% | 42.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.94% | 65.07% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% | 26.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% | 62.01% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% | 18.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% | 50.4% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 7.33% 1-0 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |