Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
| 39.39% | 26.41% | 34.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% | 52.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% | 73.85% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% | 28.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% | 64.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.2% |