Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 40.85% | 27.01% | 32.14% |
| Both teams to score 50.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% | 54.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% | 76.22% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% | 61.61% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% | 31.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% | 68.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.14% |